Daniil Medvedev vs Tommy Paul Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

Wojtek Kolan

Wojtek Kolan

Published on 12 Mar at 05:54 AM UTC

HEAD TO HEAD

D. Medvedev vs T. Paul

Daniil Medvedev
Daniil Medvedev

Flag RUS RUS

l
w
w
w
w
w
l
w
w
l
Tommy Paul
Tommy Paul

Flag USA USA

w
l
l
w
l
w
l
w
w
l

4

Win

5

Played

1

Win

29
Age
28
6'6" (198 cm)
Height
6'1" (185 cm)
13
C. Rank
20
1
Best Rank
8
22
Total Titles
4
1
YTD Titles
0
$33.0M
Career Money
$9.5M
Right-Handed
Plays
Right-Handed

Head-to-head: Medvedev 4 - 1 Paul

They have played 13 sets in total, with Daniil Medvedev winning 9 and Tommy Paul winning 4. The last match between Daniil Medvedev and Tommy Paul was at the BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells, 11-03-2025, Round: R4, Surface: Hard, with Daniil Medvedev getting the victory 6-4 6-0.

PlayersHead To Head Match Wins
Medvedev4
Paul1
Last 5 H2H Matches:

(R4BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells(03-11-25)

Hard
RUS Flag
Daniil Medvedev
6
6
USA Flag
Tommy Paul
4
0

(R4Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome(05-14-24)

Clay
USA Flag
Tommy Paul
6
6
RUS Flag
Daniil Medvedev
1
4

(SFBNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells(03-16-24)

Hard
RUS Flag
Daniil Medvedev
1
7
6
USA Flag
Tommy Paul
6
6
2

D. Medvedev vs T. Paul H2H Profile

Stats
$32,984,050Career Prize Money$9,546,065
70.40% (578-243)Career Total W/L64.24% (458-255)
1Clay1
3Hard0
26Titles14
4Total H2H Matches1
64.06% (41-23)YTD Win/Loss69.05% (29-13)
1YTD Titles0

D. Medvedev vs T. Paul Match Preview:

In terms of second serve performance over the last six months, Daniil Medvedev has secured 42.55% of points, slightly trailing Tommy Paul who has achieved 43.82%. This statistic often plays a crucial role in determining the likely outcome of a match. Meanwhile, examining the return game metrics, Medvedev has demonstrated an ability to win 46.06% of his opponent's second serve points, compared to Paul's 45.06%. On first serve returns, Medvedev records a 24.65% success rate, while Paul edges ahead with 25.65%.

When analyzing their performance under pressure, Medvedev has saved 57.26% of breakpoints in recent encounters, compared to Paul who managed 54.96%. Such statistics provide valuable insights for in-game betting predictions. Over the last year, Medvedev has won 65.22% of matches with a win-loss record of 45-24. In contrast, Paul has achieved a 71.43% win rate, finishing with a 45-18 record, offering a comprehensive overview of their head-to-head dynamics.

Medvedev shows a preference for hard courts, posting a career win percentage of 76%, while his performance on clay stands at 65%. Paul, contrastingly, performs best on grass with a 67% win ratio, slightly underperforming on indoor hard courts with 63%. Regarding the level of competition, Medvedev has played mostly in Masters series events over the past year, holding a 66.67% win percentage, while Paul has predominantly participated in Main tour events, boasting a 77.27% success rate.

Their head-to-head record reveals that Medvedev has triumphed in 3 out of their 4 encounters, winning 7 out of 11 sets played. Despite their overall match history, Paul managed a recent victory at the Internazionali BNL d'Italia. Typically, their matches average a duration of 1:49:1, and they have faced a deciding set once, with Medvedev emerging victorious.

A critical aspect of match prediction lies in opponent quality; Medvedev’s opponents have had an average ranking of 51.1 over the last 12 months, compared to Paul’s average opponent rank of 78.4. In terms of deciding set performances against all opponents, Medvedev claims a 53% win rate over the last 12 months, slightly lagging behind Paul's 55% success rate.

Analyzing their breakpoint conversion rates, Medvedev has utilized 27.63% of his attempts, whereas Paul has been more effective, converting 31.78% of his chances. This is pivotal for live betting strategies, especially when breakpoint opportunities arise during a match.

Evaluating these statistics collectively provides a nuanced prediction for the forthcoming match. While both players have their strengths, Medvedev’s historical head-to-head dominance and his ability to perform under pressure might give him a slight edge, yet Paul's current form suggests it will be a closely contested battle.

Daniil Medvedev vs Tommy Paul Editorial Preview By TennisTipster88.

D. Medvedev vs T. Paul H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions

Stats
4H2H Matches Won1
9Sets Won4
64Games Won47
24Aces (Total)15
14Total Double Faults11
1:42:4Average Match Time1:42:4
59% (198/335)1st Serve %62% (237/383)
71% (140/198)1st Serve Win %57% (135/237)
44% (60/137)2nd Serve Win %43% (63/146)
53% (26/49)Break Pts Won %53% (17/32)
48% (185/383)Return Points Win %40% (135/335)
75% (3/4)Best‑of‑3 Win %25% (1/4)
100% (1/1)Best‑of‑5 Win %0% (0/1)
100% (1/1)Deciding Set Win %0% (0/1)
100% (2/2)1st Set Won, Won Match33% (1/3)
0% (0/2)1st Set Won, Lost Match67% (2/3)
67% (2/3)1st Set Lost, Won Match0% (0/2)

Recent Performance Stats

2nd Serve Win %: Medvedev 49%, Paul 53%.
Opp 2nd Serve Pts Won: Medvedev 53%, Paul 53%.
Break Points Saved %: Medvedev 60%, Paul 63%.

D. Medvedev Recent Matches Played

OPPONENTRESULTSCOREH2H
I.hardRolex Paris Masters - Paris - 27-10-2025

QF

GERA. Zverev
L
2-6 6-3 7-6(5)

R3

ITAL. Sonego
W
3-6 7-6(5) 6-4

R2

BULG. Dimitrov
W
w/o

R1

ESPJ. Antoni
W
6-1 6-3
I.hardErste Bank Open - Vienna - 20-10-2025

R2

FRAC. Moutet
L
7-6(3) 6-4

T. Paul Recent Matches Played

OPPONENTRESULTSCOREH2H
HardU.S. Open - New York - 25-08-2025

R3

KAZA. Bublik
L
7-6(5) 6-7(4) 6-3 6-7(5) 6-1

R2

PORN. Borges
W
7-6(6) 6-3 5-7 5-7 7-5

R1

DENE. Moller
W
6-3 6-3 6-1
HardCincinnati Open - Cincinnati - 04-08-2025

R3

FRAA. Mannarino
L
5-7 6-3 6-4

R2

ESPP. Martinez
W
6-2 6-2
banner

D. Medvedev vs T. Paul Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents

Stats
70.40% (578/243)YTD Win/Loss64.24% (458/255)
65.95% (1356/700)Sets Win/Loss60.08% (1070/711)
55.60% (10945/8741)Games Win/Loss53.40% (9154/7989)
74.58% (267/91)Hard Win/Loss64.00% (224/126)
64.38% (94/52)Clay Win/Loss65.24% (137/73)
68.12% (156/73)Indoor Hard W/L62.75% (64/38)
69.32% (61/27)Grass Win/Loss64.71% (33/18)
0.57Aces Per Game0.36
5548Aces Total3009
0.28Double Faults Per Game0.18
2659Total Double Faults1524
1:34:45Average Match Time1:31:31
340.84Average Opponent Rank391.96
61% (33648/55201)1st Serve %60% (28451/47385)
75% (25219/33648)1st Serve Win %71% (20218/28451)
51% (10966/21546)2nd Serve Win %53% (9952/18935)
43% (2449/5718)Break Points Won % (Total)42% (1944/4585)
40% (22811/57170)Return Points Win %39% (18664/47549)
72.22% (91/35)Slam W/L62.35% (53/32)
67.57% (125/60)Masters W/L61.74% (71/44)
76.92% (20/6)Cups W/L55.56% (5/4)
72.06% (196/76)Main Tour W/L61.14% (118/75)
52.17% (12/11)Tour Finals W/L0% (0/0)
68.75% (55/25)Challenger W/L63.25% (105/61)
72.55% (74/28)Futures W/L73.57% (103/37)
71% (485/685)Best of 3 Sets Win %64% (404/630)
69% (88/127)Best of 5 Sets Win %64% (47/74)
56% (168/299)Tiebreaks Win % (Total)54% (149/278)
62% (145/235)Deciding Set Win %60% (151/250)
90% (533/481)1st Set Won, Won Match88% (425/372)
10% (533/51)1st Set Won, Lost Match12% (425/52)
33% (287/96)1st Set Lost, Won Match29% (288/84)

Other Tennis Predictions Today

10:30 PM 12/11/25
Prediction
ITAJ. Sinner
GERA. Zverev
W1
1.14
W2
6.15
12:00 AM 12/11/25
Prediction
GREA. Thanos
USAD. Milavsky
W1
1.44
W2
2.55
09:15 PM 11/11/25
Prediction
USAK. Polingq
CAND. ChanWC
W1
2.4
W2
1.49
12:00 PM 12/11/25
Prediction
FRAL. V. Assche
KAZM. Kukushkinq
W1
1.4
W2
2.68
09:15 PM 11/11/25
Prediction
ESPC. Taberner4
PERG. Bueno
W1
1.44
W2
2.55
10:30 PM 11/11/25
Prediction
ITAL. Musetti
AUSA. D. Minaur
W1
2.12
W2
1.76

Tennis Previews & Betting Tips

11 Nov 2025

Lorenzo Musetti vs Alex De Minaur Prediction – ATP Nitto ATP Finals – 11th November 2025 Best Bets

11 Nov 2025

Nitto ATP Finals – Turin Preview And Prediction: Lorenzo Musetti vs Alex De Minaur Betting Tips & Picks November 11, 2025

11 Nov 2025

Daniel Dutra Da Silva vs Emilio Nava Prediction – ATP Montevideo Challenger – 11th November 2025 Best Bets

11 Nov 2025

Viktor Durasovic vs Shintaro Mochizuki Prediction – ATP Lyon Challenger – 11th November 2025 Best Bets

11 Nov 2025

Carlos Alcaraz vs Taylor Fritz Prediction – ATP Nitto ATP Finals – 11th November 2025 Best Bets

11 Nov 2025

Jan-Lennard Struff vs Beibit Zhukayev Prediction – ATP Lyon Challenger – 11th November 2025 Best Bets